Best Time to Fly MSP to PHX: On-Time Stats by Hour & Airline
Minneapolis-St Paul International → Phoenix Sky Harbor International
Data through July 2026 · Last updated October 18, 2026
Over the last 12 months, 80.3% of Minneapolis (MSP) to Phoenix (PHX) flights arrived on time (3,019 scheduled flights). That is 2.7 points above the national average of 77.6%.
Among 4 airlines, Southwest Airlines led with 87.4% on time and Delta Air Lines was last with 79.3%.
Over 24 months, Wednesday was the most reliable day (84% on time) and December the worst month (70%).
The cancellation rate was 0.9% (US average 1.8%).
MSP to PHX on-time performance by airline
Last 12 months. Airlines with fewer than 30 completed flights are marked “limited data”.
| Airline | On time | Avg delay when late | Cancelled | Flights |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Airlines | 87.4% | 51 min | 0.4% | 257 |
| Frontier Airlines | 84.9% | 147 min | 1.4% | 74 |
| American Airlines | 80.1% | 92 min | 1.4% | 638 |
| Delta Air Lines | 79.3% | 62 min | 0.7% | 2,048 |
| Envoy Air | Limited data | 2 | ||
80%+ good 70–79.9% fair <70% poor
Best time of day to fly MSP to PHX
On-time arrival % by scheduled departure hour (local time), 6,417 flights over 24 months.
Show the numbers
| Departure hour | On time | Cancelled | Flights |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5am–6am | 94.6% | 1.8% | 228 |
| 6am–7am | 91.1% | 0.2% | 618 |
| 7am–8am | 85.8% | 0.8% | 983 |
| 8am–9am | Limited data | 10 | |
| 9am–10am | 82.4% | 0.2% | 621 |
| 10am–11am | 89.1% | 1.7% | 177 |
| 11am–12pm | 81.5% | 0.4% | 806 |
| 12pm–1pm | 89.0% | 1.1% | 93 |
| 1pm–2pm | 76.2% | 0.0% | 105 |
| 2pm–3pm | 77.8% | 0.4% | 1,208 |
| 3pm–4pm | 80.8% | 0.6% | 162 |
| 4pm–5pm | Limited data | 4 | |
| 5pm–6pm | Limited data | 28 | |
| 6pm–7pm | 72.0% | 0.3% | 665 |
| 7pm–8pm | 80.0% | 0.0% | 70 |
| 8pm–9pm | 72.4% | 2.4% | 126 |
| 9pm–10pm | 75.8% | 0.3% | 323 |
| 10pm–11pm | 67.9% | 1.6% | 190 |
Best day of the week
24 months, by day of departure.
Best month to fly
24 months, by calendar month.
Holiday travel on MSP to PHX
On-time arrivals during holiday periods compared with all other days, last 24 months.
| Period | On time | vs other days | Cancelled | Flights |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thanksgiving week (Tue before to Mon after) | 67.2% | -15.4 pts | 0.8% | 126 |
| Christmas & New Year (Dec 20 - Jan 3) | 71.2% | -11.4 pts | 0.7% | 291 |
| Summer peak (Jun 15 - Aug 15) | 79.7% | -2.9 pts | 0.4% | 999 |
| All other days | 82.6% | — | 0.6% | 5,001 |
Monthly on-time trend
On-time arrival % each month, with the 12-month US average for reference.
What causes delays on this route
Share of reported delay minutes, last 12 months (BTS cause categories).