Best Time to Fly MSP to ORD: On-Time Stats by Hour & Airline
Minneapolis-St Paul International → Chicago O'Hare International
Data through July 2026 · Last updated October 18, 2026
6,344 flights were scheduled from Minneapolis (MSP) to Chicago (ORD) in the last 12 months, and 70.6% of those that flew arrived on time, 7.0 points below the US average of 77.6%.
Among 7 airlines, Republic Airways led with 75.8% on time and PSA Airlines was last with 54.8%.
Over 24 months, Tuesday was the most reliable day (79% on time) and December the worst month (65%).
The cancellation rate was 2.8% (US average 1.8%).
MSP to ORD on-time performance by airline
Last 12 months. Airlines with fewer than 30 completed flights are marked “limited data”.
| Airline | On time | Avg delay when late | Cancelled | Flights |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republic Airways | 75.8% | 91 min | 7.7% | 556 |
| Envoy Air | 75.4% | 71 min | 2.8% | 1,063 |
| American Airlines | 74.5% | 94 min | 0.9% | 111 |
| United Airlines | 70.0% | 83 min | 1.6% | 2,375 |
| Delta Air Lines | 68.4% | 67 min | 2.3% | 1,422 |
| SkyWest Airlines | 66.9% | 90 min | 3.5% | 761 |
| PSA Airlines | 54.8% | 79 min | 2.3% | 43 |
| Frontier Airlines | Limited data | 13 | ||
80%+ good 70–79.9% fair <70% poor
Best time of day to fly MSP to ORD
On-time arrival % by scheduled departure hour (local time), 12,576 flights over 24 months.
Show the numbers
| Departure hour | On time | Cancelled | Flights |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5am–6am | 90.5% | 1.5% | 546 |
| 6am–7am | 84.6% | 2.0% | 1,295 |
| 7am–8am | 84.9% | 1.6% | 888 |
| 8am–9am | 83.1% | 1.3% | 757 |
| 9am–10am | 88.1% | 0.5% | 607 |
| 10am–11am | 81.2% | 0.7% | 1,138 |
| 11am–12pm | 79.1% | 1.0% | 1,028 |
| 12pm–1pm | 77.8% | 0.4% | 267 |
| 1pm–2pm | 74.1% | 1.8% | 952 |
| 2pm–3pm | 68.6% | 1.2% | 242 |
| 3pm–4pm | 59.9% | 1.2% | 1,436 |
| 4pm–5pm | 58.8% | 2.3% | 483 |
| 5pm–6pm | 60.0% | 2.1% | 895 |
| 6pm–7pm | 62.9% | 3.5% | 1,120 |
| 7pm–8pm | 58.4% | 3.5% | 460 |
| 8pm–9pm | 73.5% | 1.6% | 446 |
| 9pm–10pm | Limited data | 13 | |
| 10pm–11pm | Limited data | 3 | |
Best day of the week
24 months, by day of departure.
Best month to fly
24 months, by calendar month.
Holiday travel on MSP to ORD
On-time arrivals during holiday periods compared with all other days, last 24 months.
| Period | On time | vs other days | Cancelled | Flights |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thanksgiving week (Tue before to Mon after) | 59.0% | -17.0 pts | 6.2% | 226 |
| Christmas & New Year (Dec 20 - Jan 3) | 73.1% | -2.8 pts | 1.8% | 436 |
| Summer peak (Jun 15 - Aug 15) | 67.7% | -8.2 pts | 1.9% | 2,216 |
| All other days | 75.9% | — | 1.5% | 9,698 |
Monthly on-time trend
On-time arrival % each month, with the 12-month US average for reference.
What causes delays on this route
Share of reported delay minutes, last 12 months (BTS cause categories).