Best Time to Fly MDW to TPA: On-Time Stats by Hour & Airline
Chicago Midway International → Tampa International
Data through July 2026 · Last updated October 18, 2026
Over the last 12 months, 77.9% of Chicago (MDW) to Tampa (TPA) flights arrived on time (1,581 scheduled flights). That is in line with the national average of 77.6%.
Frontier Airlines was the most punctual of the 2 airlines on the route at 90.5%, while Southwest Airlines trailed at 77.6%.
February has been the best month (87% on time) and Sunday the weakest day of the week (73%).
1.4% of flights were cancelled, versus 1.8% nationally.
MDW to TPA on-time performance by airline
Last 12 months. Airlines with fewer than 30 completed flights are marked “limited data”.
| Airline | On time | Avg delay when late | Cancelled | Flights |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frontier Airlines | 90.5% | 42 min | 2.2% | 45 |
| Southwest Airlines | 77.6% | 53 min | 1.4% | 1,536 |
80%+ good 70–79.9% fair <70% poor
Best time of day to fly MDW to TPA
On-time arrival % by scheduled departure hour (local time), 3,330 flights over 24 months.
Show the numbers
| Departure hour | On time | Cancelled | Flights |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5am–6am | 95.2% | 0.9% | 336 |
| 6am–7am | 95.6% | 0.9% | 210 |
| 7am–8am | 88.3% | 1.6% | 366 |
| 8am–9am | 88.7% | 2.7% | 110 |
| 9am–10am | 86.4% | 1.9% | 315 |
| 10am–11am | 82.7% | 0.0% | 76 |
| 11am–12pm | 80.4% | 1.9% | 105 |
| 12pm–1pm | 81.5% | 1.1% | 93 |
| 1pm–2pm | 81.3% | 1.8% | 274 |
| 2pm–3pm | 73.1% | 1.9% | 269 |
| 3pm–4pm | 74.2% | 0.0% | 89 |
| 4pm–5pm | 74.1% | 1.7% | 173 |
| 5pm–6pm | 59.4% | 2.2% | 184 |
| 6pm–7pm | 63.5% | 2.5% | 315 |
| 7pm–8pm | 76.0% | 1.5% | 131 |
| 8pm–9pm | 63.9% | 2.4% | 170 |
| 9pm–10pm | 34.9% | 1.9% | 108 |
| 10pm–11pm | Limited data | 6 | |
Best day of the week
24 months, by day of departure.
Best month to fly
24 months, by calendar month.
Holiday travel on MDW to TPA
On-time arrivals during holiday periods compared with all other days, last 24 months.
| Period | On time | vs other days | Cancelled | Flights |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thanksgiving week (Tue before to Mon after) | 82.6% | +1.4 pts | 4.2% | 72 |
| Christmas & New Year (Dec 20 - Jan 3) | 71.1% | -10.1 pts | 0.6% | 161 |
| Summer peak (Jun 15 - Aug 15) | 67.8% | -13.4 pts | 2.2% | 587 |
| All other days | 81.2% | — | 1.6% | 2,510 |
Monthly on-time trend
On-time arrival % each month, with the 12-month US average for reference.
What causes delays on this route
Share of reported delay minutes, last 12 months (BTS cause categories).